Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 64.49 to 63.911, down 0.90%
Market Energy Bear Critical -65.5% to Bear Critical -63.3%, up 2.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.45%5.56%1.62%0.90%
Energy15.379.30.42.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.45% 5.56% 1.62% 0.90% 15.3 79.3 0.4 2.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.90% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.3 pts — higher than 11% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAGUSD Daily

Sample: 4,050 Daily candles from 2012-11-12 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 207 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 147 times71%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 60 times29%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -63.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.23%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · D1 · 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-65.5%
Bear Critical
-63.3%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, XAGUSD within the Bear Critical zone.

On trend energy, The energy level rose +2.3%: from -65.5% now at -63.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -65.5 to +14.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 13-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 63.911, down 0.9% from the previous candle (64.49). Market Energy was -63.3%, up 2.3 points from -65.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 63.911, down 0.9% from the previous Daily candle (64.49). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAGUSD, across 2,394 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -65.5% to -63.3%. This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAGUSD at -65.5%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.3%, XAGUSD is 3.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.23 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Critical, -63.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. XAGUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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