Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 680.82 to 680.44, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.3% to Bear Critical -63.0%, up 11.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.26%▼ 1.36%▲ 0.42%▼ 0.06%
Energy▲ 4.7▼ 126.3▲ 3.7▲ 11.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.26%▼ 1.36%▲ 0.42%▼ 0.06%▲ 4.7▼ 126.3▲ 3.7▲ 11.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.3 pts — higher than 56% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT 1H

Sample: 15,027 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 789 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 499 times — 63.2%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 290 times — 36.8%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -62.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.53%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-10-01 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-74.3%
Bear Critical
-63.0%
Bear Critical
-32.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, WHEAT noted at the Bear Critical measurement.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy rose +11.3% this candle, currently -63% (previous candle -74.3%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -100 to +89.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 680.44, down 0.06% from the previous candle (680.82). Market Energy was -63%, up 11.3 points from -74.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 680.44, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (680.82). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 15,041 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.3% to -63%. This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -74.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63%, WHEAT is 2.97 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.53 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -63%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 93.3%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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