Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 698.02 to 680.565, down 2.50%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.5% to Bear Critical -63.2%, down 17.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▼ 2.32%▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%
Energy▲ 15.5▼ 14.2▲ 7.7▼ 17.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▼ 2.32%▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 15.5▼ 14.2▲ 7.7▼ 17.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.50% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.8 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,420 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 209 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 137 times — 65.6%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 72 times — 34.4%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -63.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.26%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-45.5%
Bear Bias
-63.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, WHEAT recorded in the Bear Critical zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading dropped -17.8%, moving from -45.5% to -63.2% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -63.2 to -38.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 680.565, down 2.5% from the previous candle (698.02). Market Energy was -63.2%, down 17.8 points from -45.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 680.565, down 2.5% from the previous Daily candle (698.02). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,921 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.5% to -63.2%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -45.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.2%, WHEAT is 3.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.26 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -63.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.8%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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