Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
VIX Stock from 12.65 to 11.8, down 6.72%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.3% to Bear Extreme -95.4%, down 24.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.71%▼ 6.07%▼ 3.80%▼ 6.72%
Energy▼ 1.1▼ 23.1▼ 5.7▼ 24.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.71%▼ 6.07%▼ 3.80%▼ 6.72%▼ 1.1▼ 23.1▼ 5.7▼ 24.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.72% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 24.1 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme VIX Stock Weekly

Sample: 748 Weekly candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 19 times

▸When VIX Stock is in Bear Extreme:

  • then VIX Stock moved to higher Market State: 19 times — 100%
  • then VIX Stock moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current VIX Stock market energy: -95.41%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 20.91%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.59%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

VIX · W1 · 2026-09-28 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live VIX chart →
Market Energy
-71.3%
Bear Critical
-95.4%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
09:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Weekly session concludes, VIX Stock in Bear in Extreme state.

The market energy reading The energy level dropped -24.1%: from -71.3% now at -95.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did VIX Stock price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 09:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, VIX Stock was at 11.8, down 6.72% from the previous candle (12.65). Market Energy was -95.4%, down 24.1 points from -71.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did VIX price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

VIX closed at 11.8, down 6.72% from the previous Weekly candle (12.65). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for VIX, across 399 candles since 2019.

How did VIX Stock Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 24.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.3% to -95.4%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for VIX.

Do VIX price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was VIX Stock in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had VIX Stock at -71.3%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, VIX Stock moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does VIX Stock energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -95.4%, VIX Stock is 20.91 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 4.59 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: VNINDEX (Vietnam equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.5%; VN30 (VN30 basket) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.7%. Against this backdrop, VIX Stock (Bear Extreme, -95.4%) sits in the same state zone as VNINDEX, VN30.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.4%. VIX Stock energy is currently below DXY by 75 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for VIX Stock.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for VIX on the VIX Stock overview →

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