Analysis

USOIL 97.423 ↑1.04%: Bears very strong · 4H 04:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 96.393 · High 98.3855 · Low 96.218 · Close 97.423 · Range (high − low) 2.1675
USOIL closed at 97.423, up 1 (+1.04%) from 96.423.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -81.4% to Bear Critical at -64.0%, up 17.4 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price98.645597.70396.42397.423
Energy20.4%-9.6%-81.4%-64.0%
Price change↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%↓ 1.31%↑ 1.04%
Energy change↓ 1.3↓ 30.0↓ 71.8↑ 17.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%↓ 1.31%↑ 1.04%↓ 1.3↓ 30.0↓ 71.8↑ 17.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.04% — higher than 79% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 17.4 pts — higher than 68% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,212 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,009 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 678 times — 67.2%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 331 times — 32.8%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -64.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.46%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-21 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-81.4%
Bear Extreme
-64.0%
Bear Critical
-45.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USOIL classified into the Bear Critical zone after the 4H candle completed.

Meanwhile, Market Energy rose +17.4% from the previous session, from -81.4% to -64%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -81.4 to 90.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 22-10-2026, USOIL was at 97.423, up 1.04% from the previous candle (96.423). Market Energy was -64%, up 17.4 points from -81.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 97.423, up 1.04% from the previous 4H candle (96.423). This rise is larger than 79% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,981 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 17.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.4% to -64%. This rise is larger than 68% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -81.4%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64%, USOIL is 4.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.46 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -64%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -36.7%. USOIL (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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