Analysis

USOIL 96.423 ↓1.31%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 97.153 · High 97.753 · Low 96.113 · Close 96.423 · Range (high − low) 1.64
USOIL closed at 96.423, down 1.28 (-1.31%) from 97.703.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -9.6% to Bear Extreme at -81.4%, down 71.8 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price98.695598.645597.70396.423
Energy21.7%20.4%-9.6%-81.4%
Price change↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%↓ 1.31%
Energy change↑ 5.4↓ 1.3↓ 30.0↓ 71.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%↓ 1.31%↑ 5.4↓ 1.3↓ 30.0↓ 71.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.31% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.8 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,206 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 825 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 825 times — 100%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -81.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.93%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.57%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-21 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-9.6%
Neutral
-81.4%
Bear Extreme
-64.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USOIL shows the peak Bear energy state - Bear Extreme.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy moved from -9.6% to -81.4%, down -71.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -81.4 to 94.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 21-10-2026, USOIL was at 96.423, down 1.31% from the previous candle (97.703). Market Energy was -81.4%, down 71.8 points from -9.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 96.423, down 1.31% from the previous 4H candle (97.703). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,980 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -9.6% to -81.4%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -9.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.4%, USOIL is 6.93 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.57 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.5%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Extreme, -81.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.4%. USOIL (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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