Analysis

USOIL 97.703 ↓0.96%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 20:00 Oct 21, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 98.643 · High 100.173 · Low 97.598 · Close 97.703 · Range (high − low) 2.575
USOIL closed at 97.703, down 0.9425 (-0.96%) from 98.6455.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 20.4% to Neutral at -9.6%, down 30.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price97.93898.695598.645597.703
Energy16.3%21.7%20.4%-9.6%
Price change↓ 0.03%↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%
Energy change↓ 2.0↑ 5.4↓ 1.3↓ 30.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.03%↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.96%↓ 2.0↑ 5.4↓ 1.3↓ 30.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.96% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.0 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,204 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,601 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 831 times — 51.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 770 times — 48.1%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -9.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 30.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 11.24%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
20.4%
Neutral
-9.6%
Neutral
-81.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USOIL in the Neutral energy state.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Energy delta -30%: Market Energy at -9.6%, previously 20.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -9.6 to 94.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 21-10-2026, USOIL was at 97.703, down 0.96% from the previous candle (98.6455). Market Energy was -9.6%, down 30.0 points from 20.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 97.703, down 0.96% from the previous 4H candle (98.6455). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,979 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30 percentage points from the previous candle — from 20.4% to -9.6%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 20.4%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -9.6%, USOIL is 30.52 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 11.24 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, -9.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -22.5%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 12.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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