Analysis

USOIL 98.6455 ↓0.05%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 16:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 98.683 · High 99.223 · Low 97.9955 · Close 98.6455 · Range (high − low) 1.2275
USOIL closed at 98.6455, down 0.05 (-0.05%) from 98.6955.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 21.7% to Neutral at 20.4%, down 1.3 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price97.9797.93898.695598.6455
Energy18.3%16.3%21.7%20.4%
Price change↓ 1.54%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%
Energy change↓ 47.7↓ 2.0↑ 5.4↓ 1.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.54%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.77%↓ 0.05%↓ 47.7↓ 2.0↑ 5.4↓ 1.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.3 pts — higher than 9% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,204 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,601 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 831 times — 51.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 770 times — 48.1%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 20.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.24%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-21 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
21.7%
Bull Bias
20.4%
Neutral
-9.6%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Market Energy of USOIL indicates the Neutral state.

The energy side shows Market Energy reading dropped -1.3%, moving from 21.7% to 20.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from 16.3 to 94.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 21-10-2026, USOIL was at 98.6455, down 0.05% from the previous candle (98.6955). Market Energy was 20.4%, down 1.3 points from 21.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 98.6455, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (98.6955). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,978 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21.7% to 20.4%. This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 21.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.4%, USOIL is 0.52 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.24 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -11.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.8%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, 20.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.8%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 0.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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