Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 91.158 to 91.627, up 0.51%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.9% to Bear Extreme -88.9%, up 1.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.52%2.42%0.51%
Energy12.910.128.31.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.52% 2.42% 0.51% 12.9 10.1 28.3 1.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.51% — higher than 54% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.0 pts — higher than 7% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,095 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 821 times

When USOIL is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 821 times100%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USOIL market energy: -88.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.42%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 11.08%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-89.9%
Bear Extreme
-88.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USOIL recorded in the Bear Extreme state.

On the energy side, Energy delta +1%: Market Energy at -88.9%, previously -89.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -89.9 to +22.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 91.627, up 0.51% from the previous candle (91.158). Market Energy was -88.9%, up 1.0 points from -89.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 91.627, up 0.51% from the previous 4H candle (91.158). This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,871 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.9% to -88.9%. This rise is larger than 7% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -89.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -88.9%, USOIL is 14.42 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 11.08 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 100%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Extreme, -88.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.6%. USOIL (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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