Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 90.648 to 90.295, down 0.39%
Market Energy Neutral -3.6% to Bull Bias 23.5%, up 27.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%▲ 2.62%▼ 0.39%
Energy▼ 106.9▼ 31.5▲ 85.1▲ 27.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%▲ 2.62%▼ 0.39%▼ 106.9▼ 31.5▲ 85.1▲ 27.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 27.0 pts — higher than 79% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,141 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,697 times

▸When USOIL is in Bull Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 765 times — 45.1%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 932 times — 54.9%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 23.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 36.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 2.58%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-02 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-3.6%
Neutral
23.5%
Bull Bias
Expected at
08:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USOIL shows trend energy leaning Bull.

The energy side shows Market Energy rose +27% this candle, currently 23.5% (previous candle -3.6%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +60.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 03-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 90.295, down 0.39% from the previous candle (90.648). Market Energy was 23.5%, up 27.0 points from -3.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 90.295, down 0.39% from the previous 4H candle (90.648). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,916 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 27 percentage points from the previous candle — from -3.6% to 23.5%. This rise is larger than 79% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -3.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 23.5%, USOIL is 36.54 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 2.58 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.8%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Bias, 23.5%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -40.2%. USOIL (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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