Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USOIL from 89.148 to 92.0455, up 3.25%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.8% to Bear Bias -36.8%, up 32.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.21%▼ 3.97%▲ 1.01%▲ 3.25%
Energy▲ 5.0▼ 27.5▲ 1.2▲ 32.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.21%▼ 3.97%▲ 1.01%▲ 3.25%▲ 5.0▼ 27.5▲ 1.2▲ 32.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.25% — higher than 87% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 32.0 pts — higher than 82% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USOIL Daily

Sample: 7,474 Daily candles from 1997-01-03 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 633 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 364 times — 57.5%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 269 times — 42.5%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -36.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.22%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · D1 · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-68.8%
Bear Critical
-36.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, USOIL reflects the Bear Bias energy level.

On the measurement side, A +32% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -36.8% (previous: -68.8%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -70 to -36.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 92.0455, up 3.25% from the previous candle (89.148). Market Energy was -36.8%, up 32.0 points from -68.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 92.0455, up 3.25% from the previous Daily candle (89.148). This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USOIL, across 2,410 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 32 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.8% to -36.8%. This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USOIL at -68.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -36.8%, USOIL is 15.9 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 23.22 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.3%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Bias, -36.8%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.3%. USOIL (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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