Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 88.333 to 90.648, up 2.62%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.7% to Neutral -3.6%, up 85.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.39%▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%▲ 2.62%
Energy▼ 4.3▼ 106.9▼ 31.5▲ 85.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.39%▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%▲ 2.62%▼ 4.3▼ 106.9▼ 31.5▲ 85.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.62% — higher than 96% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 85.1 pts — higher than 97% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,137 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-01
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,595 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 827 times — 51.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 768 times — 48.2%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -3.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 24.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 17.32%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-02 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-88.7%
Bear Extreme
-3.6%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USOIL classified as the balanced Market Energy zone.

Per the 2AI model, The energy level rose +85.1%: from -88.7% now at -3.6%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +60.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 90.648, up 2.62% from the previous candle (88.333). Market Energy was -3.6%, up 85.1 points from -88.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 90.648, up 2.62% from the previous 4H candle (88.333). This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,915 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 85.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88.7% to -3.6%. This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -88.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Neutral.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -3.6%, USOIL is 24.44 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 17.32 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, -3.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.3%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 87.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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