Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 88.398 to 88.333, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.2% to Bear Extreme -88.7%, down 31.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.47%▼ 0.39%▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 6.2▼ 4.3▼ 106.9▼ 31.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.47%▼ 0.39%▼ 3.50%▼ 0.07%▲ 6.2▼ 4.3▼ 106.9▼ 31.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 10% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.5 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,137 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 823 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 823 times — 100%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -88.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.2%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 11.3%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-57.2%
Bear Bias
-88.7%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, USOIL within Bear energy in an extreme reading.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -31.5% from the previous session, from -57.2% to -88.7%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +60.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 88.333, down 0.07% from the previous candle (88.398). Market Energy was -88.7%, down 31.5 points from -57.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 88.333, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (88.398). This drop is larger than 10% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,914 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.2% to -88.7%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -57.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -88.7%, USOIL is 14.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 11.3 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.6%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Extreme, -88.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.6%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 77.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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