Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 89.433 to 89.159, down 0.31%
Market Energy Bull Bias 53.3% to Bull Bias 41.6%, down 11.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.37%1.23%0.33%0.31%
Energy21.410.61.911.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.37% 1.23% 0.33% 0.31% 21.4 10.6 1.9 11.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,079 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,691 times

When USOIL is in Bull Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 765 times45.2%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 926 times54.8%

Current USOIL market energy: 41.6%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 18.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 20.72%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-03 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
53.3%
Bull Bias
41.6%
Bull Bias
42.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, USOIL in Bull Bias.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -11.7% from the previous candle, from 53.3% to 41.6%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from +41.6 to +98.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 89.159, down 0.31% from the previous candle (89.433). Market Energy was 41.6%, down 11.7 points from 53.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 89.159, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (89.433). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,808 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.3% to 41.6%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 53.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 41.6%, USOIL is 18.4 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 20.72 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.3%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Bias, 41.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52.5%. USOIL (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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