Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 78.334 to 79.843, up 1.93%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.2% to Neutral 2.8%, up 77.0 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.56%▲ 0.72%▲ 0.63%▲ 1.93%
Energy▲ 2.9▲ 9.5▲ 11.8▲ 77.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.56%▲ 0.72%▲ 0.63%▲ 1.93%▲ 2.9▲ 9.5▲ 11.8▲ 77.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.93% — higher than 93% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 77.0 pts — higher than 96% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,147 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-05
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,596 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 828 times — 51.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 768 times — 48.1%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 2.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 18.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 23.66%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-08-04 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-74.2%
Bear Critical
2.8%
Neutral
52.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

USOIL classified into the balanced energy state after the 4H candle completed.

Observing the USOIL market this session, Market Energy rose +77% this candle, currently 2.8% (previous candle -74.2%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -98.4 to +75.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, USOIL was at 79.843, up 1.93% from the previous candle (78.334). Market Energy was 2.8%, up 77.0 points from -74.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 79.843, up 1.93% from the previous 4H candle (78.334). This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,698 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 77 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.2% to 2.8%. This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -74.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Neutral.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 2.8%, USOIL is 18.1 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 23.66 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 44.5%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, 2.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 51.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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