Analysis

USDJPY 158.314 ↑0.29%: Bears have the edge · W Oct 5, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 157.75 · High 158.511 · Low 157.442 · Close 158.314 · Range (high − low) 1.069
USDJPY closed at 158.314, up 0.455 (+0.29%) from 157.859.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -45.5% to Bear Bias at -27.5%, up 18.0 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price156.88157.299157.859158.314
Energy-76.6%-58.0%-45.5%-27.5%
Price change↑ 2.16%↑ 0.27%↑ 0.36%↑ 0.29%
Energy change↑ 18.8↑ 18.6↑ 12.5↑ 18.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 2.16%↑ 0.27%↑ 0.36%↑ 0.29%↑ 18.8↑ 18.6↑ 12.5↑ 18.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.29% — higher than 26% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 18.0 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Weekly

Sample: 615 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 52 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 33 times — 63.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 19 times — 36.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -27.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.62%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 32.5%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · W1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-45.5%
Bear Bias
-27.5%
Bear Bias
-26.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias zone is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the Weekly candle closed.

On trend energy, Energy delta +18%: Market Energy at -27.5%, previously -45.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 05-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.314, up 0.29% from the previous candle (157.859). Market Energy was -27.5%, up 18.0 points from -45.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.314, up 0.29% from the previous Weekly candle (157.859). This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY, across 405 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 18 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.5% to -27.5%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDJPY at -45.5%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -27.5%, USDJPY is 6.62 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 32.5 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -27.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 12.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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