Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.369 to 157.343, down 0.02%
Market Energy Neutral -17.1% to Neutral -17.3%, down 0.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▲ 0.12%▼ 0.11%▼ 0.02%
Energy▲ 2.9▲ 18.7▲ 0.2▼ 0.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▲ 0.12%▼ 0.11%▼ 0.02%▲ 2.9▲ 18.7▲ 0.2▼ 0.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 11% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.2 pts — higher than 1% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,268 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-29
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,522 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 840 times — 55.2%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 682 times — 44.8%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -17.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 3.58%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-29 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-17.1%
Neutral
-17.3%
Neutral
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, USDJPY shows neutral energy.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -0.2%, moving from -17.1% to -17.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.343, down 0.02% from the previous candle (157.369). Market Energy was -17.3%, down 0.2 points from -17.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.343, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (157.369). This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,058 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -17.1% to -17.3%. This drop is larger than 1% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -17.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -17.3%, USDJPY is 38.18 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 3.58 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -17.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.9%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 110.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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