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| Price | ▲ 0.32% | ▼ 0.02% | ▼ 0.55% | ▲ 0.16% |
| Energy | ▲ 30.2 | ▲ 28.2 | ▼ 44.4 | ▲ 5.3 |
Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 4H
▸When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:
- then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 588 times — 71.5%
- then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 234 times — 28.5%
▸Current USDJPY market energy: -70.95%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.95%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.55%
"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING
Bear Critical is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the 4H candle closed.
On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market trend energy recorded a +5.3% rise from the previous candle, from -76.3% to -70.9%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +97.4.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.163, up 0.16% from the previous candle (156.9055). Market Energy was -70.9%, up 5.3 points from -76.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
USDJPY closed at 157.163, up 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (156.9055). This rise is larger than 71% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,052 candles since 2019.
How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.3% to -70.9%. This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.
Do USDJPY price and energy agree?
Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -76.3%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.
Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -70.9%, USDJPY is 10.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.55 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -70.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5.5%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 65.5 points.
See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →
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