Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.7935 to 157.704, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 97.2% to Bull Extreme 97.4%, up 0.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.14%0.60%0.42%0.06%
Energy1.132.71.50.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.14% 0.60% 0.42% 0.06% 1.1 32.7 1.5 0.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 33% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.2 pts — higher than 1% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,223 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 819 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 819 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 97.38%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 2.62%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 22.88%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-18 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
97.2%
Bull Extreme
97.4%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, USDJPY in the extreme Bull energy zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy at 97.4%, up +0.2% from 97.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -46.7 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.704, down 0.06% from the previous candle (157.7935). Market Energy was 97.4%, up 0.2 points from 97.2%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.704, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (157.7935). This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,016 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.2% to 97.4%. This rise is larger than 1% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 97.2%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 97.4%, USDJPY is 2.62 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 22.88 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 97.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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