Analysis

·

Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.365 to 154.287, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.9% to Bull Critical 72.8%, up 4.9 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.15%0.10%0.48%0.05%
Energy4.35.453.84.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.15% 0.10% 0.48% 0.05% 4.3 5.4 53.8 4.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 30% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.9 pts — higher than 27% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,190 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,061 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 388 times36.6%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 673 times63.4%

Current USDJPY market energy: 72.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.82%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-10 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.9%
Bull Critical
72.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Market USDJPY in the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy rose +4.9% this candle, currently 72.8% (previous candle 67.9%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +72.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.287, down 0.05% from the previous candle (154.365). Market Energy was 72.8%, up 4.9 points from 67.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.287, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (154.365). This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,981 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.9% to 72.8%. This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 67.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.8%, USDJPY is 1.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.82 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 72.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.5%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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