Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.0115 to 159.24, up 0.14%
Market Energy Neutral -19.0% to Bull Bias 34.7%, up 53.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.08%0.01%0.14%
Energy9.332.78.653.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.08% 0.01% 0.14% 9.3 32.7 8.6 53.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.14% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 53.7 pts — higher than 93% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,204 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,581 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 864 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 34.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 25.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 13.84%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.0%
Neutral
34.7%
Bull Bias
92.4%
Bull Extreme
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, USDJPY noted at the Bull Bias state.

On the energy side, Energy delta +53.7%: Market Energy at 34.7%, previously -19%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -34 to +55.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.24, up 0.14% from the previous candle (159.0115). Market Energy was 34.7%, up 53.7 points from -19%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.24, up 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (159.0115). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,914 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 53.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19% to 34.7%. This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -19%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 34.7%, USDJPY is 25.28 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 13.84 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 34.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.4%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 23.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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