Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.302 to 159.349, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Bias 55.1% to Bull Bias 53.7%, down 1.4 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.05%0.07%0.03%
Energy3.37.014.31.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% 3.3 7.0 14.3 1.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 18% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.4 pts — higher than 9% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,204 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,581 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 864 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 53.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 6.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 32.85%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-25 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
55.1%
Bull Bias
53.7%
Bull Bias
43.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USDJPY in the Bull Bias level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system A -1.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 53.7% (previous: 55.1%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -47.1 to +59.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.349, up 0.03% from the previous candle (159.302). Market Energy was 53.7%, down 1.4 points from 55.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.349, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (159.302). This rise is larger than 18% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,907 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 55.1% to 53.7%. This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 55.1%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 53.7%, USDJPY is 6.27 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 32.85 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 53.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 62.1%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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