Analysis

USDJPY 158.064 ↓0.06%: Bulls have the edge · 1H 09:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.156 · High 158.184 · Low 158.063 · Close 158.064 · Range (high − low) 0.121
USDJPY closed at 158.064, down 0.095 (-0.06%) from 158.159.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 52.5% to Bull Bias at 27.0%, down 25.5 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.092158.144158.159158.064
Energy20.3%43.0%52.5%27.0%
Price change↑ 0.07%↑ 0.03%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.06%
Energy change↑ 8.8↑ 22.7↑ 9.5↓ 25.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.07%↑ 0.03%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.06%↑ 8.8↑ 22.7↑ 9.5↓ 25.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.5 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 73,416 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,616 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,301 times — 41%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 3,315 times — 59%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 26.99%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 33.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 6.11%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-10-16 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
52.5%
Bull Bias
27.0%
Bull Bias
-34.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY recorded in the energy zone tilted toward Bull as the 1H candle ended.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -25.5% from the previous session, from 52.5% to 27%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to 98.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 09:00 on 16-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.064, down 0.06% from the previous candle (158.159). Market Energy was 27%, down 25.5 points from 52.5%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.064, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (158.159). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,554 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 52.5% to 27%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 52.5%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 27%, USDJPY is 33.01 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 6.11 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 27%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.6%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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