Analysis

·

Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.545 to 153.586, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Bias 21.0% to Neutral 19.3%, down 1.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.03%0.06%0.03%
Energy3.35.57.61.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% 3.3 5.5 7.6 1.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 33% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.7 pts — higher than 13% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,778 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,646 times

When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,980 times52.8%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,666 times47.2%

Current USDJPY market energy: 19.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.2%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-09 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
21.0%
Bull Bias
19.3%
Neutral
-18.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, USDJPY within the neutral Bull/Bear zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -1.7% from the previous candle, from 21% to 19.3%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +72.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.586, up 0.03% from the previous candle (153.545). Market Energy was 19.3%, down 1.7 points from 21%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.586, up 0.03% from the previous 1H candle (153.545). This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,926 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21% to 19.3%. This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 21%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.3%, USDJPY is 1.56 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.2 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, 19.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 21.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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