Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.375 to 153.345, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -95.5% to Bear Extreme -84.3%, up 11.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.22%0.01%0.28%0.02%
Energy16.18.33.811.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.22% 0.01% 0.28% 0.02% 16.1 8.3 3.8 11.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 26% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.2 pts — higher than 58% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,825 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,157 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,157 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -84.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 9.8%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 15.7%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-08 02:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-95.5%
Bear Extreme
-84.3%
Bear Extreme
-74.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, USDJPY within the extreme Bear energy state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from -95.5% to -84.3%, up +11.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +75.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 08-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.345, down 0.02% from the previous candle (153.375). Market Energy was -84.3%, up 11.2 points from -95.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.345, down 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (153.375). This drop is larger than 26% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,883 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -95.5% to -84.3%. This rise is larger than 58% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -95.5%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -84.3%, USDJPY is 9.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 15.7 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -84.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.1%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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