Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 156.37 to 156.325, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.5% to Bull Critical 74.1%, down 1.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.13%0.19%0.03%
Energy23.730.743.11.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.13% 0.19% 0.03% 23.7 30.7 43.1 1.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 37% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.4 pts — higher than 11% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,928 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,630 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,435 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 74.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 14.09%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-04 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.5%
Bull Extreme
74.1%
Bull Critical
65.6%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, Market USDJPY in the near-peak Bull energy state.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy moved from 75.5% to 74.1%, down -1.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.1 to +96.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.325, down 0.03% from the previous candle (156.37). Market Energy was 74.1%, down 1.4 points from 75.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.325, down 0.03% from the previous 1H candle (156.37). This drop is larger than 37% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,837 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.5% to 74.1%. This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 75.5%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74.1%, USDJPY is 0.41 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 14.09 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 74.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.9%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 95 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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