Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.808 to 157.9135, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.3% to Bull Extreme 94.9%, up 12.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.08%0.00%0.07%
Energy2.98.36.612.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.08% 0.00% 0.07% 2.9 8.3 6.6 12.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 65% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.5 pts — higher than 62% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,769 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,558 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,558 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 94.88%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 5.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 20.38%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-08-04 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
82.3%
Bull Extreme
94.9%
Bull Extreme
77.3%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market USDJPY in the Extreme state of Bull.

Market trend update: A +12.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 94.9% (previous: 82.3%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +94.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.9135, up 0.07% from the previous candle (157.808). Market Energy was 94.9%, up 12.5 points from 82.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.9135, up 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (157.808). This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,290 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.3% to 94.9%. This rise is larger than 62% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 82.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 94.9%, USDJPY is 5.12 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 20.38 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 94.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26.8%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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