Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.471 to 153.561, down 0.59%
Market Energy Bear Critical -67.4% to Bear Critical -65.3%, up 2.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.23%0.04%0.61%0.59%
Energy1.66.923.52.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.23% 0.04% 0.61% 0.59% 1.6 6.9 23.5 2.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.59% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.0 pts — higher than 10% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,038 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 183 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 139 times76%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 44 times24%

Current USDJPY market energy: -65.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.15%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-67.4%
Bear Critical
-65.3%
Bear Critical
-70.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, USDJPY reflects the Bear Critical energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy rose +2% this candle, currently -65.3% (previous candle -67.4%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.7 to -65.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.561, down 0.59% from the previous candle (154.471). Market Energy was -65.3%, up 2.0 points from -67.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.561, down 0.59% from the previous Daily candle (154.471). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,407 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -67.4% to -65.3%. This rise is larger than 10% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -67.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.3%, USDJPY is 5.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.15 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 9.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -65.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 25.1%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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