Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.82112 to 0.82113, up 0.00%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.6% to Bear Critical -71.1%, up 0.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.22%0.05%0.00%
Energy15.016.113.20.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.22% 0.05% 0.00% 15.0 16.1 13.2 0.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.00% — higher than 0% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.5 pts — higher than 4% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,226 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-20
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 557 times

When USDCHF is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 379 times68%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 178 times32%

Current USDCHF market energy: -71.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.38%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-71.6%
Bear Critical
-71.1%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, Result for USDCHF: the Bear Critical level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Energy delta +0.5%: Market Energy at -71.1%, previously -71.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -81.2 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.82113, up <0.01% from the previous candle (0.82112). Market Energy was -71.1%, up 0.5 points from -71.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.82113, up <0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.82112). This rise is larger than 0% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,024 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.6% to -71.1%. This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at -71.6%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.1%, USDCHF is 11.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.38 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 100%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.4%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bear Critical, -71.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.6%. USDCHF (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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