Analysis

USDCAD 1.4236 ↓0.23%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 04:00 Oct 15, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.4264 · High 1.4264 · Low 1.4235 · Close 1.4236 · Range (high − low) 0.00292
USDCAD closed at 1.4236, down 0.003345 (-0.23%) from 1.4269.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 86.3% to Bull Bias at 48.2%, down 38.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.42141.42661.42691.4236
Energy-82.7%86.8%86.3%48.2%
Price change↑ 0.11%↑ 0.37%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.23%
Energy change↑ 11.6↑ 169.4↓ 0.4↓ 38.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.11%↑ 0.37%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.23%↑ 11.6↑ 169.4↓ 0.4↓ 38.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.1 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,352 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,474 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 472 times — 32%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 1,002 times — 68%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 48.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.36%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
86.3%
Bull Extreme
48.2%
Bull Bias
-24.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USDCAD recorded in the energy state tilted toward Bull.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, A -38.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 48.2% (previous: 86.3%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to 86.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 15-10-2026, USDCAD was at 1.4236, down 0.23% from the previous candle (1.4269). Market Energy was 48.2%, down 38.1 points from 86.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4236, down 0.23% from the previous 4H candle (1.4269). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,126 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.3% to 48.2%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 86.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48.2%, USDCAD is 11.76 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.36 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -89.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Bias, 48.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 67%. USDCAD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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