Analysis

USDCAD 1.4285 ↑0.41%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 20:00 Oct 9, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.4227 · High 1.4299 · Low 1.422 · Close 1.4285 · Range (high − low) 0.00788
USDCAD closed at 1.4285, up 0.005775 (+0.41%) from 1.4227.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -48.0% to Bull Extreme at 79.3%, up 127.2 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.42171.42121.42271.4285
Energy-61.3%-74.1%-48.0%79.3%
Price change↓ 0.06%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.41%
Energy change↓ 8.3↓ 12.8↑ 26.1↑ 127.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.06%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.41%↓ 8.3↓ 12.8↑ 26.1↑ 127.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.41% — higher than 97% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 127.2 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,373 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 290 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 290 times — 100%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 79.26%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 20.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.76%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-48.0%
Bear Bias
79.3%
Bull Extreme
83.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, USDCAD classified as Bull Extreme.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, A +127.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 79.3% (previous: -48%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -97.9 to 80.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 09-10-2026, USDCAD was at 1.4285, up 0.41% from the previous candle (1.4227). Market Energy was 79.3%, up 127.2 points from -48%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4285, up 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (1.4227). This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,106 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 127.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -48% to 79.3%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD on record since 2019.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -48%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 79.3%, USDCAD is 20.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 4.76 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.9%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Extreme, 79.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.5%. USDCAD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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