Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4214 to 1.4228, up 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Bias -36.6% to Bear Bias -21.0%, up 15.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.19%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.10%
Energy▼ 75.2▼ 4.4▼ 17.1▲ 15.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.19%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.10%▼ 75.2▼ 4.4▼ 17.1▲ 15.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 60% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.6 pts — higher than 69% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,280 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,372 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 953 times — 69.5%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 419 times — 30.5%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: -20.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.08%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 39.04%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-02 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-36.6%
Bear Bias
-21.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, USDCAD noted at the Bear Bias zone.

Market energy movement The energy level rose +15.6%: from -36.6% now at -21%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -36.6 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4228, up 0.1% from the previous candle (1.4214). Market Energy was -21%, up 15.6 points from -36.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4228, up 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (1.4214). This rise is larger than 60% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,075 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -36.6% to -21%. This rise is larger than 69% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -36.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -21%, USDCAD is 0.08 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 39.04 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -21%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 18.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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