Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4141 to 1.4151, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Bias 59.4% to Bull Critical 66.4%, up 7.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.07%
Energy▲ 8.4▼ 7.4▼ 19.6▲ 7.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%▲ 0.07%▲ 8.4▼ 7.4▼ 19.6▲ 7.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 49% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.1 pts — higher than 41% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,252 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 622 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 182 times — 29.3%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 440 times — 70.7%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 66.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.44%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-25 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
59.4%
Bull Bias
66.4%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USDCAD in the Bull Critical state.

Market energy movement Market Energy at 66.4%, up +7.1% from 59.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -9 to +94.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4151, up 0.08% from the previous candle (1.4141). Market Energy was 66.4%, up 7.1 points from 59.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4151, up 0.08% from the previous 4H candle (1.4141). This rise is larger than 49% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,047 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59.4% to 66.4%. This rise is larger than 41% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 59.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.4%, USDCAD is 8.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 0.8%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 66.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.6%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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