Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4149 to 1.4141, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 79.0% to Bull Bias 59.4%, down 19.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.05%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 1.1▲ 8.4▼ 7.4▼ 19.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.05%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%▼ 1.1▲ 8.4▼ 7.4▼ 19.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.6 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,253 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,464 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 467 times — 31.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 997 times — 68.1%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 59.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.51%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
79.0%
Bull Extreme
59.4%
Bull Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The energy zone tilted toward Bull determined for USDCAD through the 4H candle data.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Energy delta -19.6%: Market Energy at 59.4%, previously 79%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -9 to +94.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4141, down 0.06% from the previous candle (1.4149). Market Energy was 59.4%, down 19.6 points from 79%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4141, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.4149). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,046 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79% to 59.4%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 79%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 59.4%, USDCAD is 0.61 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 38.51 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Bias, 59.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -76.4%. USDCAD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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