Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4 to 1.4005, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Critical 63.4% to Bull Critical 71.4%, up 8.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.04%0.13%0.04%
Energy5.111.216.48.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.04% 0.13% 0.04% 5.1 11.2 16.4 8.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 25% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.0 pts — higher than 46% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,220 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 618 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 180 times29.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 438 times70.9%

Current USDCAD market energy: 71.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.43%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-18 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
63.4%
Bull Critical
71.4%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, USDCAD recorded in the near-extreme Bull energy level.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy rose +8% from the previous candle, from 63.4% to 71.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +47 to +99.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4005, up 0.04% from the previous candle (1.4). Market Energy was 71.4%, up 8.0 points from 63.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4005, up 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (1.4). This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,016 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 63.4% to 71.4%. This rise is larger than 46% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 63.4%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.4%, USDCAD is 3.07 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.43 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 71.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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