Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3983 to 1.4, up 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Bias 47.0% to Bull Critical 63.4%, up 16.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.02%0.04%0.13%
Energy3.55.111.216.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.02% 0.04% 0.13% 3.5 5.1 11.2 16.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 69% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.4 pts — higher than 71% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,220 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 618 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 180 times29.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 438 times70.9%

Current USDCAD market energy: 63.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.4%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
47.0%
Bull Bias
63.4%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, USDCAD within the near-extreme Bull energy state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at 63.4%, up +16.4% from 47% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +47 to +99.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4, up 0.13% from the previous candle (1.3983). Market Energy was 63.4%, up 16.4 points from 47%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (1.3983). This rise is larger than 69% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,015 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 47% to 63.4%. This rise is larger than 71% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 47%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.4%, USDCAD is 11.1 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.4 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 63.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 74.1%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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