Analysis

·

Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3914 to 1.3905, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.0% to Bull Critical 67.8%, down 9.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.01%0.08%0.07%
Energy10.11.65.29.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.01% 0.08% 0.07% 10.1 1.6 5.2 9.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 42% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.3 pts — higher than 51% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,202 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 613 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 178 times29%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 435 times71%

Current USDCAD market energy: 67.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.79%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-15 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
77.0%
Bull Extreme
67.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded USDCAD in the Bull Critical level after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy movement A -9.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 67.8% (previous: 77%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +50.6 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3905, down 0.07% from the previous candle (1.3914). Market Energy was 67.8%, down 9.3 points from 77%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3905, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (1.3914). This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,997 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77% to 67.8%. This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 77%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.8%, USDCAD is 6.71 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.79 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 67.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .