Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3818 to 1.3833, up 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Bias 50.6% to Bull Bias 56.9%, up 6.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.14%0.05%0.11%
Energy8.413.714.96.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.14% 0.05% 0.11% 8.4 13.7 14.9 6.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.3 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,186 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,452 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 457 times31.5%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 995 times68.5%

Current USDCAD market energy: 56.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 3.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 36.05%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
50.6%
Bull Bias
56.9%
Bull Bias
Expected at
08:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, USDCAD reflects the Bull Bias zone.

End-of-session update for 4H, Energy delta +6.3%: Market Energy at 56.9%, previously 50.6%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -66.3 to +65.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3833, up 0.11% from the previous candle (1.3818). Market Energy was 56.9%, up 6.3 points from 50.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3833, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (1.3818). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,982 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 50.6% to 56.9%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 50.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 56.9%, USDCAD is 3.07 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 36.05 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.6%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Bias, 56.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.2%. USDCAD energy is currently above DXY by 54.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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