Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3838 to 1.3838, down 0.00%
Market Energy Neutral 19.7% to Neutral 6.7%, down 13.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.07%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%
Energy▲ 11.2▲ 54.3▲ 23.1▼ 13.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.07%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.00%▲ 11.2▲ 54.3▲ 23.1▼ 13.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.00% — higher than 1% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.0 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,282 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,877 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 956 times — 50.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 921 times — 49.1%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 6.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 14.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 27.61%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
19.7%
Neutral
6.7%
Neutral
36.1%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The system just recorded USDCAD in Neutral of Market Energy after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from 19.7% to 6.7%, down -13% from the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to +81.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 05-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3838, down <0.01% from the previous candle (1.3838). Market Energy was 6.7%, down 13.0 points from 19.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3838, down <0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1.3838). This drop is larger than 1% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,958 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.7% to 6.7%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 19.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 6.7%, USDCAD is 14.15 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 27.61 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -2.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, 6.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 15.3%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 8.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .