Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3834 to 1.3838, up 0.03%
Market Energy Neutral -3.4% to Neutral 19.7%, up 23.1 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.03%
Energy▲ 2.0▲ 11.2▲ 54.3▲ 23.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.03%▲ 2.0▲ 11.2▲ 54.3▲ 23.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 19% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 23.1 pts — higher than 82% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,282 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,877 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 956 times — 50.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 921 times — 49.1%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 19.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.6%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-04 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-3.4%
Neutral
19.7%
Neutral
6.7%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The neutral energy level between Bull and Bear recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for USDCAD.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, The energy level rose +23.1%: from -3.4% now at 19.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to +81.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3838, up 0.03% from the previous candle (1.3834). Market Energy was 19.7%, up 23.1 points from -3.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3838, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (1.3834). This rise is larger than 19% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,957 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 23.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -3.4% to 19.7%. This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -3.4%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.7%, USDCAD is 1.16 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.6 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.6%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, 19.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.5%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 3.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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