Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3838 to 1.3835, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Bias -37.6% to Bear Critical -60.3%, down 22.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.36%0.40%0.35%0.02%
Energy21.732.720.022.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.36% 0.40% 0.35% 0.02% 21.7 32.7 20.0 22.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.8 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,030 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 130 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 95 times73.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 35 times26.9%

Current USDCAD market energy: -60.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.16%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-37.6%
Bear Bias
-60.3%
Bear Critical
-45.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, USDCAD within the near-peak Bear energy state.

Per the 2AI model, A -22.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -60.3% (previous: -37.6%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -60.3 to -3.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 06-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3835, down 0.02% from the previous candle (1.3838). Market Energy was -60.3%, down 22.8 points from -37.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3835, down 0.02% from the previous Daily candle (1.3838). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 2,401 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.6% to -60.3%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at -37.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.3%, USDCAD is 0.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.16 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -0.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Critical, -60.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 14%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 74.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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