Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.379 to 1.3838, up 0.35%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.5% to Bear Bias -37.6%, up 20.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.31%0.36%0.40%0.35%
Energy15.121.732.720.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.31% 0.36% 0.40% 0.35% 15.1 21.7 32.7 20.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.35% — higher than 72% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 20.0 pts — higher than 78% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,030 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 312 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 212 times67.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 100 times32.1%

Current USDCAD market energy: -37.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 16.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 22.44%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-57.5%
Bear Bias
-37.6%
Bear Bias
-60.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the Daily candle, Market USDCAD in Bear Bias.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading rose +20%, moving from -57.5% to -37.6% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -57.5 to +15.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3838, up 0.35% from the previous candle (1.379). Market Energy was -37.6%, up 20.0 points from -57.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3838, up 0.35% from the previous Daily candle (1.379). This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 2,400 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 20 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.5% to -37.6%. This rise is larger than 78% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at -57.5%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -37.6%, USDCAD is 16.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 22.44 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -37.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -59.4%. USDCAD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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