Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,213.3 to 52,052.8 points, down 0.31%
Market Energy Neutral -15.7% to Bear Bias -25.4%, down 9.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.06%0.13%0.31%
Energy2.40.510.39.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.06% 0.13% 0.31% 2.4 0.5 10.3 9.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.7 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,067 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,260 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 798 times63.3%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 462 times36.7%

Current US30 Index market energy: -25.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 34.58%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-15.7%
Neutral
-25.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, US30 Index reflects the energy zone leaning Bear.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -9.7% from the previous session, from -15.7% to -25.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -72 to +86.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,052.8, down 0.31% from the previous candle (52,213.3). Market Energy was -25.4%, down 9.7 points from -15.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,052.8, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (52,213.3). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,894 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -15.7% to -25.4%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -15.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25.4%, US30 Index is 4.54 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 34.58 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.4%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Bias, -25.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. US30 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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