Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,145.3 to 52,213.3 points, up 0.13%
Market Energy Bear Bias -26.0% to Neutral -15.7%, up 10.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.03%0.06%0.13%
Energy6.22.40.510.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.03% 0.06% 0.13% 6.2 2.4 0.5 10.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 44% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.3 pts — higher than 54% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,068 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,292 times

When US30 Index is in Neutral:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 665 times51.5%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 627 times48.5%

Current US30 Index market energy: -15.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 5.2%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-26.0%
Bear Bias
-15.7%
Neutral
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, US30 Index within the Bull/Bear balanced state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta +10.3%: Market Energy at -15.7%, previously -26%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -72 to +86.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,213.3, up 0.13% from the previous candle (52,145.3). Market Energy was -15.7%, up 10.3 points from -26%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,213.3, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (52,145.3). This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,893 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -26% to -15.7%. This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -26%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -15.7%, US30 Index is 36.56 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 5.2 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -9.3%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Neutral, -15.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.5%. US30 Index energy is currently below DXY by 89.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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