Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 53,694.1 to 53,667.6 points, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 97.9% to Bull Extreme 92.2%, down 5.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.10%0.00%0.05%
Energy0.50.60.35.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.10% 0.00% 0.05% 0.5 0.6 0.3 5.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 20% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.7 pts — higher than 38% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,049 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 788 times

When US30 Index is in Bull Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 788 times100%

Current US30 Index market energy: 92.16%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 7.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 17.66%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-04 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
97.9%
Bull Extreme
92.2%
Bull Extreme
25.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, US30 Index in Bull Extreme.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -5.7%: from 97.9% now at 92.2%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -99 to +98.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 53,667.6, down 0.05% from the previous candle (53,694.1). Market Energy was 92.2%, down 5.7 points from 97.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 53,667.6, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (53,694.1). This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,848 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.9% to 92.2%. This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at 97.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 92.2%, US30 Index is 7.84 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 17.66 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.4%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bull Extreme, 92.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -26.3%. US30 Index (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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