Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,213.3 to 52,010.3 points, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.2% to Bear Critical -67.1%, down 141.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.16%0.08%0.39%
Energy32.865.520.0141.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.16% 0.08% 0.39% 32.8 65.5 20.0 141.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 141.2 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical US30 Index 1H

Sample: 69,729 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,082 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,184 times70.9%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 898 times29.1%

Current US30 Index market energy: -67.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.43%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H1 · 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.2%
Bull Critical
-67.1%
Bear Critical
-52.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

US30 Index recorded in the near-extreme Bear energy level as the 1H candle ended.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy dropped -141.2% from the previous candle, from 74.2% to -67.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +97.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,010.3, down 0.39% from the previous candle (52,213.3). Market Energy was -67.1%, down 141.2 points from 74.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did US30 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,010.3, down 0.39% from the previous 1H candle (52,213.3). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for US30, across 45,966 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 141.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.2% to -67.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for US30 on record since 2019.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had US30 Index at 74.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.1%, US30 Index is 7.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.43 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.4%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Critical, -67.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. US30 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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