Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,784.4 to 7,780.6 points, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 88.7% to Bull Extreme 84.4%, down 4.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.70%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.05%
Energy▲ 42.0▲ 8.5▲ 2.0▼ 4.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.70%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.05%▲ 42.0▲ 8.5▲ 2.0▼ 4.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 18% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.3 pts — higher than 29% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 18,142 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 858 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bull Extreme:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 858 times — 100%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: 84.42%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 15.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 9.92%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H4 · 2026-10-06 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
88.7%
Bull Extreme
84.4%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Result for SPX500 Index: the Bull Extreme level.

The SPX500 market at session end, Compared to the previous candle (88.7%), Market Energy dropped -4.3% to 84.4%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -54 to +88.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 06-10-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,780.6, down 0.05% from the previous candle (7,784.4). Market Energy was 84.4%, down 4.3 points from 88.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,780.6, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (7,784.4). This drop is larger than 18% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500, across 11,970 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 88.7% to 84.4%. This drop is larger than 29% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at 88.7%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 84.4%, SPX500 Index is 15.58 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 9.92 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.7%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Extreme, 84.4%) has higher energy than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -58.3%. SPX500 Index (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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