Analysis

SPX500 Index 7,758 points ↑0.06%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 20:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 7,753.5 · High 7,761.5 · Low 7,753 · Close 7,758 · Range (high − low) 8.5
SPX500 Index closed at 7,758 points, up 4.7 (+0.06%) from 7,753.3.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -12.0% to Neutral at -0.7%, up 11.4 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price7,7537,756.87,753.37,758
Energy-6.5%-6.4%-12.0%-0.7%
Price change↓ 0.06%↑ 0.05%↓ 0.05%↑ 0.06%
Energy change↓ 52.5↑ 0.1↓ 5.6↑ 11.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.06%↑ 0.05%↓ 0.05%↑ 0.06%↓ 52.5↑ 0.1↓ 5.6↑ 11.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 40% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.4 pts — higher than 55% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 70,302 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-19
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,409 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Neutral:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,903 times — 53.7%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 2,506 times — 46.3%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: -0.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 21.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 20.23%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SPX500 chart →
Market Energy
-12.0%
Neutral
-0.7%
Neutral
-67.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Once measurement on the 1H timeframe completes, SPX500 Index in the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone.

The SPX500 market at session end, Market Energy reading rose +11.4%, moving from -12% to -0.7% after the 1H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to 99.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 20:00 on 16-10-2026, SPX500 Index was at 7,758, up 0.06% from the previous candle (7,753.3). Market Energy was -0.7%, up 11.4 points from -12%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,758, up 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (7,753.3). This rise is larger than 40% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 46,482 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12% to -0.7%. This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at -12%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -0.7%, SPX500 Index is 21.53 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 20.23 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.2%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Neutral, -0.7%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.1%. SPX500 Index energy is currently below DXY by 42.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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