Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 7,686.9 to 7,698.3 points, up 0.15%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.2% to Bull Critical 63.0%, up 22.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.15%
Energy▲ 16.9▼ 15.0▼ 36.1▲ 22.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.15%▲ 16.9▼ 15.0▼ 36.1▲ 22.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.15% — higher than 71% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.8 pts — higher than 76% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 70,025 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,679 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 1,319 times — 35.9%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 2,360 times — 64.1%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: 63.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.04%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2026-10-02 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
40.2%
Bull Bias
63.0%
Bull Critical
Expected at
16:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, Market SPX500 Index in the near-peak Bull energy level.

Market energy movement Market Energy rose +22.8% from the previous session, from 40.2% to 63%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -95.1 to +96.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was at 7,698.3, up 0.15% from the previous candle (7,686.9). Market Energy was 63%, up 22.8 points from 40.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 7,698.3, up 0.15% from the previous 1H candle (7,686.9). This rise is larger than 71% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 46,239 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.2% to 63%. This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at 40.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63%, SPX500 Index is 11.46 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.04 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Critical, 63%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -59.4%. SPX500 Index (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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