Analysis

POLUSD 0.09499 ↑0.14%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09486 · High 0.09542 · Low 0.09435 · Close 0.09499 · Range (high − low) 0.00107
POLUSD closed at 0.09499, up 0.00013 (+0.14%) from 0.09486.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 64.1% to Bull Bias at 58.1%, down 6.0 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.09380.095110.094860.09499
Energy35.6%67.9%64.1%58.1%
Price change↑ 1.66%↑ 1.40%↓ 0.26%↑ 0.14%
Energy change↑ 20.5↑ 32.3↓ 3.8↓ 6.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.66%↑ 1.40%↓ 0.26%↑ 0.14%↑ 20.5↑ 32.3↓ 3.8↓ 6.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.14% — higher than 8% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.0 pts — higher than 36% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,607 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 328 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 108 times — 32.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 220 times — 67.1%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 58.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 37.2%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
64.1%
Bull Critical
58.1%
Bull Bias
70.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, POLUSD within the Bull Bias energy level.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -6% this candle, currently 58.1% (previous candle 64.1%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 67.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 21-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09499, up 0.14% from the previous candle (0.09486). Market Energy was 58.1%, down 6.0 points from 64.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09499, up 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (0.09486). This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,605 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.1% to 58.1%. This drop is larger than 36% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 64.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.1%, POLUSD is 1.92 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 37.2 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.1%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 58.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 60.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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